Rex Moxley

Consumers’ Ability to Carry Their Debt is What Counts

We all know that a global deleveraging process has been underway for some time now, and it is occurring at all levels – among governments, corporations, and in households as well. While statistics quantifying the debt situation in specific areas are helpful overall, some can be rather misleading. For instance, an oft-quoted statistic is the “stock of household debt” among US households. Right now, US household debt is historically high – both in absolute terms and when compared to household income. However, what often goes unsaid is) Read More

S&P 500 & Crises – keep your perspective

We’ve all heard it said “the stock market is a great investment over time”. It’s easy to say “yes, but”, especially in tumultuous times like these. But when the jitters and anxiety surface, it’s helpful to keep the historical perspective in mind. Read More

The Key Distinction Between Money Supply and the Monetary Base

We’ve probably all heard it said recently…. “the Fed (Federal Reserve Open Markets Committee) is ‘just printing money’ right now”. However, it’s important to distinguish between the monetary base and money supply (“M2″).
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Stock Market Is A Real Value Right Now

The chart below helps to confirm what we said last week about the stock market – as represented by the S&P 500 – being a real value right now.
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Earnings Are What Ultimately Drive Stock Prices

Over time, earnings are what ultimately drive stock prices. The chart below shows the latest consensus 2011 and 2012 earnings forecasts (left axis) plotted against the S&P 500 (right axis). The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are “bottom-up” – the data comes from each of the 500 companies that comprise the S&P 500 index.
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